Canada failed to pick up points in its first two World Cup matches and now takes on Morocco in its final game on Thursday.
The pregame narrative: Hakim Ziyech is one of Morocco’s key offensive talents and we like him to pile up shot attempts. Meanwhile, Alphonso Davies plays a position where fouling is commonplace and Jonathan David holds value to go offside.
Check out our best Canada vs. Morocco World Cup prop picks for the December 1 match.
Odds as of 11:23 a.m. ET on 11/30/2022.
Canada vs. Morocco World Cup prop picks
Best Bet : Ziyech over 2.5 shots (-122)
Ziyech has recorded two shots in each of Morocco’s World Cup games and we like him to up that total against Canada.
The 29-year-old Chelsea forward is arguably Morocco’s most talented player. He’s scored the most international goals of anyone on this World Cup roster (18) and is tied for the fourth on Morocco’s all-time goalscoring list.
Whenever the Atlas Lions take the field, Zyiech is front and centre.
Ziyech averaged 4.5 shots per game in the Africa Cup of Nations tournament, clearing this total in three of Morocco’s four games.
He’s seen less success on Chelsea but has mainly been used as a substitute there.
Canada’s defence and midfield were exposed against Croatia on Sunday and we expect Morocco to try to exploit that weakness.
Ziyech is a pacy forward that plays well off the ball. We’re expecting him to find gaps in Canada’s defence and rifle off a few shot attempts.
Key stat: Ziyech is averaging 2.9 shots per game in his last nine games for Morocco.
Quick picks
Davies over 0.5 fouls conceded (-107): Davies has committed four total fouls in this tournament, including three against Belgium in the opener.
The 22-year-old is Canada’s best player and is expected to make a difference on both ends of the pitch. That doubles up his opportunity to concede a foul.
Davies did receive a yellow card earlier in this tournament but won’t have to worry about a second yellow leading to a suspension, since Canada didn’t qualify.
David to go offside (+300): This is a bit of a long shot but we like the value attached to this prop. As Canada’s striker, David is often the furthest up the pitch, leaving the possibility for an offside open.
David hasn’t gone offside in this tournament yet but has gone offside four times in his last five matches for Lille in Ligue 1.
Canada has nothing to lose here and long sweeping crosses should be the best way to crack Morocco’s defence. Those are the plays where an offside is most likely to occur.
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