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Partner Content | Top NHL picks January 24: Fade Sabres’ offence on road back-to-back

With 11 NHL games going tonight, there is no shortage of picks to choose from.

The pregame narrative: Two games have our attention when it comes to scoring in bunches, as the Detroit Red Wings host the San Jose Sharks and the Florida Panthers face the Pittsburgh Penguins. Elsewhere, offence shouldn’t be so easy for the Buffalo Sabres.

Find our top NHL picks for January 24 below.

Odds as of 10:50 a.m. on 01/24/2023.

NHL picks

Best Bet : SJ/DET over 6.5 goals (-118)

This bet is less about offence and more about a lack of defence.

Neither the Red Wings nor the Sharks have the most high-octane offensive lineups, which means we may not see a ton of scoring chances tonight. But terrible goaltending is on our side.

San Jose and Detroit rank 28th and 29th, respectively, in save percentage this year (.876 and .875). Additionally, the Wings allow 3.47 goals per 60 (25th), while the Sharks allow 3.86 G/60 (30th).

No starting goalie has been confirmed as of this writing on San Jose’s side, but Detroit will roll with Ville Husso, who was in the crease for a 7-4 win over the Sharks back in November.

And that prior matchup illustrates our point with these teams: a gluttony of goals can be scored even if chances are sparse. Natural Stat Trick measured just 5.6 expected goals for that game, and yet twice as many found the back of the net.

Key stat: San Jose has hit the over in 33 of 48 games (68.8%) this year, including five of its past six.

Quick picks

FLA/PIT over 6.5 goals (-125): Florida didn’t fail us last night, allowing six goals in a blowout loss to cash Monday’s best bet (Panthers/Rangers over 6.5). We’re tailing the Cats again tonight as they carry a four-game overs streak into PPG Paints Arena.

Pittsburgh doesn’t hit the over as often as Florida, but the Pens have scored four-plus goals in three of their past four games. Also, the over is 5-1 this season when the Panthers play on zero days’ rest.

Sabres under 3 goals – regular time (-121): Buffalo has been playing decent hockey of late, collecting at least a point in five of its past six games, but scoring doesn’t always come easy. The Sabres have scored two or fewer regulation goals in four of their past five games.

We don’t expect things to get easier on a road back-to-back. In eight previous back-to-backs this year, Buffalo has pushed or gone under on this line six times.


Jordan Horrobin writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, the Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @JordanHorrobin

Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.

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